Statistiskt stöd till Somalia fas II

The final report lists key results. They relate to the four result areas, with a focus on the three first points. A selection of the results are summarized below: Consumer Price Index (CPI) The project has resulted in a significantly improved Consumer Price Index (CPI), with more reliable, consistent, and internationally comparable economic data. This result supports evidence-based decision-making and improved alignment with international standards. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Somalia's capacity to produce reliable GDP statistics was significantly strengthened by the support from the project, enabling the Somalia National Bureau of Statistics to publish national GDP estimates for the first time in 2021 and align with IMF reporting standards. Puntland achieved full independence in calculating annual GDP, marking a major milestone in sustainable GDP production. These results have enhanced the quality, reliability, and credibility of Somalia's economic statistics. Gender statistics Significant progress was made in developing Somalia's capacity to produce reliable gender statistics, resulting in the successful publication of the Women and Men gender statistics booklets at both national and federal member state level. Somali statistical authorities now demonstrate the ability to independently generate comprehensive gender statistics, with improved processes for data validation, table generation, and chart production. The strengthened capacity ensures the continued production of high-quality gender statistics, supporting efforts to address gender-related issues. Somali Integrated Household Budget Survey The project supported the Somali Integrated Household Budget Survey (SIHBS) by strengthening the capacity of Somali statistical authorities to enhance the quality of economic and household statistics. A tailored and Somali-specific sample design improved the reliability and relevance of the data, while comprehensive training fostered technical skills and greater ownership of the survey process. The successful completion of SIHBS demonstrates the authorities ability to manage complex surveys, positioning them for a more sustainable statistical production in the future. Statistical Methodology Training in sampling techniques, survey design, and data analysis improved skills across key areas, enabling more accurate and consistent statistical production. Enhanced technical expertise, including business survey methodology as well as in statistical software, has positioned Somali authorities to manage complex surveys independently and deliver robust and relevant statistics. Communication and dissemination The project improved data accessibility and outreach to users. The implementation of the PX-Web system provided a modern platform for dissemination of statistics, enhancing user access. The introduction to a strategic approach to utilising social media, enabling targeted campaigns and improved engagement has provided the authorities an opportunity to effectively reach present and new users. The report also highlights the importance of the financial support to salaries for 12 Somali staff members at SNBS and PSD, and for procurement of equipment. The reimbursement of salaries supported project implementation, ensured progress, and maintained production capacity at the statistical authorities, according to the report. This relates to the goal of enhancing capacities for planning and organisation of statistical departments. All in all, the majority of the intended results are achieved, even if some activities have had to be amended or discontinued. Statistics Sweden acknowledges that it is too early to fully assess significant and sustainable changes at the impact level. Still, their conclusion is that there were indications of progress toward this objective.

Development objectives The overall development objective of this intervention is strengthened statistical capacity with the purpose of raising decision makers awareness, understanding and trust in statistical data. Expected results by the end of the intervention: 1) Statistical production: The Somali statistical authorities have improved the quality of statistical production in social and economic statistics 2) Statistical methodology: The general capacity in statistical methodology is improved and strengthened at the statistical departments 3) Communication and dissemination: Users have increased access to statistics data 4) Management: Planning and organisation of the statistical departments are improved The project proposal has a Theory of Change (ToC) following the logic below with some examples what is achieved at each level: Individual learning --> Institutional change --> Institutional effectiveness by increased access to data --> Increased level of awareness and trust in statistics by decision-makers --> Reaching country's development goals Individual learning - Staff is trained in different statistical areas (social, economic and environment), in methodology, communication, dissemination and management of statistics, this leads to Institutional change - when staff are trained and motivated statistical directorate and departments can develop realistic work plans for various statistical subject areas, this leads to Institutional effectiveness by increased access to data - Statistical departments, through their trained staff, have increased routines and capacity to produce and disseminate quality statistics, this leads to Increased level of awareness and trust in statistics by decision-makers - when the statistics produced and disseminated by statistics departments are recognised as of high quality it is used by decision makers for policy making and this leads to Reaching country's development goals - when using quality statistics, the country is able to better monitor the progress of the NDP and the SDGs and thus reaching and monitoring the country's development goals is enhanced.